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Thursday, July 21, 2022

Support for vax passes & mask mandates waning

by George J. Dance

According to scientists, vaccine efficacy against Covid 19 infection has waned. And so has Canadians' tolerance of Covid vaccine passports and other restrictions, according to a national polling firm. The Angus Reid Institute reported on July 20 that, while "many Canadians continue to be worried about the risk the virus poses to their own and their families’ health," and "while some are taking their own steps to prevent further spread, the appetite for government public health measures is minimal – and a fraction of what it was in previous waves."

"Last September, amid the fourth wave of the pandemic," Angus Reid reminds us, "seven-in-ten Canadians (70%) said they would support a vaccine passport in their community to require residents to show proof of inoculation to enter larger public spaces." That was the month that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau won re-election campaigning to bring vax passes in. Health matters, including vaccine passes, constitutionally are not the federal government's business; but Trudeau promised to give provincial governments a billion dollars to mandate them.  

By 2022, Canadians' support of Covid restrictions had dropped - a January Angus Reid poll found a majority in favor of "lifting restrictions" in general. However, vaccine passes remained popular. As late as mid-March, the pollster was reporting that 64 per cent - almost two Canadians in three - "supported proof of vaccination at places like restaurants and theatres in their community."

And today, now that we face a reported seventh wave of Covid? According to the latest Angus Reid survey, conducted July 13-17, the vaccine pass "concept is now supported by one-in-four (25%)." Vaccine passes no longer enjoy majority support in any region or among any demographic group.  

Public support for mask mandates has taken a similar tumble. The March Angus Reid survey found that "nationally, 73 per cent supported continuing masking requirements in public spaces" - almost three Canadians in four. By mid-July, that support has fallen to a bare majority; just "half say they would support mandating [masks] in public spaces (51%)."   

Enthusiasm for renewed mask mandates remains strongest in Atlantic Canada (at 62%), Ontario (55%), and British Columbia (also 55%). It is lowest in Alberta (36%) and Saskatchewan (38%). Support has fallen most among men under 55, of which "Just one-in-three would implement a mask mandate in their community compared to a majority of all other age and gender combinations."  

Canadians have not given up on facemasks; or have they?   Almost three-quarters (74%) of those polled say that masks are effective "at reducing the spread of COVID-19." Yet just 30% report "wearing a mask when they are inside places like grocery stores, banks or movie theatres 'most' or 'all of the time'." More than half (53%) say that they "rarely" or "never" wear one.

Only 14% of respondents want travel restrictions reinstated. Almost three times as many, 38%  – roughly two in five – told Angus Reid that no government action is needed in the event of a seventh wave of Covid.

The Institute surveyed a representative randomized sample of 1,602 Canadian adults who are members of the Angus Reid Forum. For comparison purposes only, a probability sample of this size would carry a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. 

Sources:

"Canadians still hesitant to withdraw proof of vaccination measures, masking in indoor spaces," Angus Reid Institute, March 15, 2022.  https://angusreid.org/covid-restrictions-precautions-masking-trudeau/

"Canadians’ desire to implement mask mandates or vaccine passports plunges, Angus Reid Institute, July 20, 2022.  https://www.angusreid.com/intelligence/canadians-desire-to-implement-mask-mandates-or-vaccine-passports-plunges/

"As COVID BA.5 cases surge, Canadians’ desire to implement mask mandates or vaccine passports plunges," Angus Reid Institute, July 20, 2022. 
https://angusreid.org/wp-content/uploads/2022/07/2022.07.20_COVID_Restrictions.pdf

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