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Saturday, July 21, 2012

Gary Johnson still in double digits in New Mexico - Charlotte Libertarian | Examiner.com

Gary Johnson still in double digits in New Mexico - Charlotte Libertarian | Examiner.com:

July 18, 2012 - "On Wednesday, Public Policy Polling released a poll of the presidential race in New Mexico.... Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson is polling very well for a third party candidate, coming in at 13%....

I"n other states, when voters are asked whether they have a favorable or unfavorable view of Gary Johnson, over 70% tend to reply 'not sure,' probably because they do not know who he is. In this poll of New Mexico voters, however, only 21% replied 'not sure,' while 39% replied 'favorable' and 40% replied 'unfavorable.' This is a statistical tie with Obama's result (48% F, 48% U, 3% NS), and better than Romney's result (41% F, 50% U, 10% NS.)

This poll also allows us to examine the spoiler myth. We find that in New Mexico, Johnson wins the support of 15% of Republican voters, 8% of Democratic voters, and 24% of independent/other voters. But despite taking more Republican voters than Democratic voters, the margin between Obama and Romney shrinks from 5% to 4% when Johnson is included in the poll. This suggests that: 1) the battle for independent voters is between Obama and Johnson, not Obama and Romney, and; 2) Johnson does not have much of a spoiler effect against a particular major-party candidate."

Read more: http://www.examiner.com/article/gary-johnson-still-double-digits-new-mexico
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