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Monday, April 15, 2024

Canada's Conservatives open 20-point lead

The latest Abacus poll, conducted after the carbon tax increase on April 1, shows Canada's Conservative Party has opened up a 20-point lead over the governing Liberals. 

New survey says Conservatives open up big lead over Liberals since carbon tax increase | Westerm Standard | Shaun Polczer

April 12, 2024 - "[T]he CPC [Conservative Party of Canada] has opened its biggest lead yet over the Trudeau government. If an election were held today, the Pierre Poilievre-led party would gather 44% of the vote compared to 24% for the Liberals. That’s up three points from March 31, while the Liberal tally is up one.... 

"The NDP, at 17% is down 2% while the Bloc Québécois at 6% — 29% in Quebec — is down one point. At 5%, the Green Party gained a single point while the People’s Party lost a point to settle at 3%.

"According to Abacus Data, all of the interviews were done following the increase in the federal carbon tax on April 1 and in the midst of several pre-budget announcements by Trudeau and his various cabinet cohorts. 'Controlling for the independent effect of each of these is difficult but the before/after nature at least allows us to understand what has happened,'said Abacus Data CEO & Founder David Coletto. 'This 20-point lead is the largest we have ever measured for the Conservatives'.... 

"Conservatives are ahead everywhere except Quebec, where they are now statistically tied with the Liberals and BQ. Regionally, the Conservatives are well ahead in the Prairies, lead by 25 in BC and 19 in Ontario. In Atlantic Canada, the Conservatives are 18 points ahead of the Liberals....

Courtesy Abacus Data.

"Abacus said the carbon tax increase on April 1 has not yet had any noticeable impact on Liberal support, but may have helped the Conservatives. \We will need a few more weeks of data to know this for sure. This means that political harm of the carbon tax may have run its course and things can't get too much worse for the Liberals.'”

Read more: https://www.westernstandard.news/canadian/new-survey-says-conservatives-open-up-big-lead-over-liberals-since-carbon-tax-increase/53785

Read poll: https://abacusdata.ca/conservative-open-up-largest-lead-yet/ 

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