Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Liberty Daily | Setting Expectations: Will Gary Johnson Join The Million-Vote Club?.

Liberty Daily | Setting Expectations: Will Gary Johnson Join The Million-Vote Club? - Austin F. Cassidy:

October 21, 2012 - "I always hate when I encounter the post-election disappointment coming from people who are brand new to minor party politics. It’s not their fault really, as for many people this might be the very first presidential election where they’re truly engaged. They often have wildly, ridiculously grand expectations. This is the first time they’ve ever been excited about anything political and when the returns start rolling in they feel crushed — even if their candidate did significantly better than expected.

"For myself, I’ve set my expectations at what I think are a pretty reasonable level. No Libertarian candidate for president has ever captured more than 1 million votes and I will consider the Johnson campaign a thoroughly successful effort if he breaks through that barrier....

"Another thing to look for is Johnson’s individual showings in each of the 48 states he’ll be on the ballot in. How many states can Johnson poll more than 1%, 2%, or even 3% in? Outside of the Ed Clark campaign in 1980, a Libertarian candidate for president has only attracted more than 1% of the vote in a state on 12 instances. And it’s only happened 3 times in the last 20 years!"

http://www.libertydaily.com/2012/10/setting-expectations-will-gary-johnson-join-the-million-vote-club/
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November 7 - As of 10 a.m. today, Google is showing Johnson at 1,139,000 votes. He is polling at 2% or better in: New Mexico (3.5%), Montana (2.9%), Alaska (2.5%), Wyoming (2.2%), and Maine (2.0%). - GD

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