Showing posts with label Gallup. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Gallup. Show all posts

Thursday, February 11, 2016

Gallup: libertarians make up 27% of U.S. voters

Gallup Finds More Libertarians in the Electorate | Cato @ Liberty - David Boaz:

February 10, 2016 - "The Gallup Poll has a new estimate of the number of libertarians in the American electorate. In their 2015 Governance survey they find that 27 percent of respondents can be characterized as libertarians, the highest number it has ever found. The latest results also make libertarians the largest group in the electorate, as compared to 26 percent conservative, 23 percent liberal, and 15 percent populist.

"For more than a dozen years now, the Gallup Poll has been using two questions to categorize respondents by ideology:
  • Some people think the government is trying to do too many things that should be left to individuals and businesses. Others think that government should do more to solve our country’s problems. Which comes closer to your own view?
  • Some people think the government should promote traditional values in our society. Others think the government should not favor any particular set of values. Which comes closer to your own view?
"Combining the responses to those two questions, ... Gallup consistently finds about 20 percent of respondents to be libertarian, and the number has been rising.

"Two years ago David Kirby found that libertarians made up an even larger portion of the Republican party.

"The word 'libertarian' isn’t well known, so pollsters don’t find many people claiming to be libertarian. And usually they don’t ask. But a large portion of Americans hold generally libertarian views – views that might be described as fiscally conservative and socially liberal.

"David Brooks wrote recently that the swing voters in 2016 will be people who don’t think big government is the path to economic growth and don’t know why a presidential candidate would open his campaign at Jerry Falwell’s university. Those are the voters who push American politics in a libertarian direction. David Bier and Daniel Bier wrote last summer about how many policy issues show a libertarian trend over the past 30 years....

"Politics is often frustrating for libertarians, never more so than during this presidential election when the leading presidential candidates seem to be a protectionist nationalist with a penchant for insult, a self-proclaimed socialist, and a woman who proudly calls herself a 'government junkie.' But polls show libertarian instincts in the electorate, just waiting for candidates who can speak to them."

Read more: http://www.cato.org/blog/gallup-finds-more-libertarians-electorate
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This work by Cato Institute is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 3.0 Unported License.

Saturday, September 28, 2013

Cruz filibuster reflects increasing libertarian views in Republican Party

Ted Cruz Speech Nods to Increasing Libertarian Views within Republican Party | Cato @ Liberty - David Kirby:

September 26, 2013 - "During his Ironman 21-hour speech, Sen. Ted Cruz read excerpts from Ayn Rand’s Atlas Shrugged, name-dropped 'libertarians' at least six times, and yielded to Sen. Rand Paul, who invoked Frederic Bastiat’s 'What is Seen and Unseen,' a favorite among libertarians.

"Ted Cruz, who retained remarkable composure over the long night, seems in all things deliberate. Political leaders seem to have become more comfortable talking about libertarians, even identifying themselves as such. Libertarians may have reached a tipping point within the Republican Party....

"Gallup has tracked 'libertarian' beliefs since 1993 using a combination of two questions on the role of government.... Gallup defines libertarians as those who think government is doing 'too many things' and should not 'promote traditional values'.... Gallup data show a 19 percentage point increase in libertarian views among Republicans and Republican leaning independents in the decade between 2002 and 2012. In 2002, libertarians represented 15 percent of Republicans; in 2012, 34 percent.

"Using American National Election Studies (ANES) data, a stalwart in political science, we duplicated Gallup’s methodology.... ANES data show a nine percentage point increase in libertarian views among Republicans and Republican leaning independents between 2000 and 2012. In 2000, libertarians represented 26 percent of Republicans; in 2012, 35 percent.

"Finally, we added similar questions to a national poll FreedomWorks commissioned in August to see what percentage of Republicans hold libertarian views today.... Using this method, FreedomWorks data show that 41 percent of Republicans and Republican leaning independents are libertarian today. 

"Two separate data sources, Gallup and ANES, show the same trend: that libertarian views are at the highest point in a decade. And three point estimates for libertarians in 2012 and 2013 — Gallup, ANES, and FreedomWorks — find a similar level of libertarian views between 34 and 41 percent. Of course ... not all these libertarians self-identify as such and many don’t know the word. But even that seems to be changing.... According to FreedomWorks’ poll, only 10 percent of Republicans 'don’t know' the word libertarian, compared to 27 percent nationally.

"The data confirm that libertarian views may well have reached a tipping point in the Republican Party."

Read more: http://www.cato.org/blog/ted-cruz-speech-nods-increasing-libertarian-views-within-republican-party
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